Round 1 Superstats
All statistics used in this article were taken from Behind The Net.
Using advanced statistics can tell you a lot about player and team performance. Let’s take a moment to break down some of what we found from the Penguins first round exit against the Flyers.
Penalties Taken Per 60 Minutes of Play
This statistic breaks down a players individual time on ice game over game and the number of penalties taken during that time to project a total out over a 60 minute time frame. Coincidental minors are excluded in this calculation.
1. Simon Despres – 2.5 -GP 3
2. Evgeni Malkin – 2.0 – GP 6
3. Chris Kunitz – 2.0 – GP 6
4. Steve Sullivan – 1.0 – GP 6
5. Deryk Engelland – 1.0 – GP 6
6. Matt Niskanen – 1.0 – GP 4
7. Tyler Kennedy – .8 – GP 6
8. Matt Cooke – .8 – GP 6
9. Sidney Crosby – .7 – GP 6
10. Jordan Staal – .7 – GP 6
There are a lot of prominent players listed in the above ranking. The two that stand out are Evgeni Malkin and Chris Kunitz. Those two players are way too important to be spending time in the box.
For Malkin, the type of penalties he took are specifically frustrating. It’s easy to remember Bruce Boudreau making a mockery of Geno’s short fuse on HBO, and it seems that we might still be in the same boat.
With the woes of the Penguin penalty-kill, these are some disconcerting numbers. One easy way to stay out of trouble is to stay out of the box, and the Penguins did a poor job of that against Philadelphia.
Penalties Draw Per 60 Minutes of Play
The same statistic as above, but in reverse. I limited this selection to a minimum of 5 games played in the series, as there were some numbers that were skewing the top of this specific ranking.
1. James Neal – 2.3
2. Evgeni Malkin – 2.0
3. Steve Sullivan – 2.0
4. Zbynek Michalek – 1.9
5. Kristopher Letang – 1.9
6. Tyler Kennedy – 1.5
7. Sidney Crosby – 1.4
8. Brooks Orpik – 1.2
9. Deryk Engelland – 1.0
10. Jordan Staal – .7
James Neal and Evgeni Malkin lead the team here with a higher percentage than they had in the regular season.
One alarming amount here was Sidney Crosby’s 1.4 per game, behind Tyler Kennedy and Steve Sullivan. One might expect to see Crosby’s penalties drawn much higher than his teammates based on his attitude and style of play. Especially when we consider the fact that he was playing against the Philadelphia Flyers.
The Corsi percentage rates your teams attempted shots per 60 minutes of play versus the opponents attempted shots per 60 minutes of play to give you valuable insight into how well a specific player’s line is playing against the competition. A positive number indicates more attempts on net, more zone time, and a general look inside the players time on ice.
So, the calculation is: goals + saves + missed shots + blocks for your team MINUS goals + saves + missed shots + blocks for the opposition.
I am again limiting these results to a minimum of 5 games played, however do note that if the filter was removed, Simon Despres would be leading the team.
1. James Neal – 35.35
2. Evgeni Malkin – 33.82
3. Chris Kunitz – 27.02
4. Kristopher Letang – 19.63
5. Sidney Crosby – 17.66
6. Steve Sullivan – 14.25
7. Jordan Staal – 12.89
8. Tyler Kennedy – 12.85
9. Zbynek Michalek – 9.36
10. Deryk Engelland – 8.65
The Malkin line leads this statistical category, but where are the goals to show for it? We’ll explain that in a minute when we look at PDO.
It’s encouraging to see Michalek and Engelland on this sheet. Especially for Michalek, who saw his fair share of Claude Giroux in this series.
Crosby and Sullivan numbers seem a bit low. Matt Carle and Braydon Coburn statistically played the most against that line, along with Max Talbot. Kudos to those Flyers for mitigating the damage of the Crosby line at even strength.
PDO is a statistic that attempts to account for luck. We’ll let Vic Ferrari of Behind the Net explain this statistic for us:
PDO is the sum of “On-Ice Shooting Percentage” and “On-Ice Save Percentage” while a player was on the ice. It regresses very heavily to the mean in the long-run: a team or player well above 1000 has generally played in good luck and should expect to drop going forward and vice-versa.
Please note that these statistics were gathered from Even-Strength play only.
1. Matt Cooke – 1163
2. Tyler Kennedy – 1096
3. Jordan Staal – 1089
4. Deryk Engelland – 1045
5. Zbynek Michalek – 1024
6. Pascal Dupuis – 1020
7. Brooks Orpik – 970
8. Kristopher Letang – 968
9. Sidney Crosby – 954
10. Evgeni Malkin – 954
11. Steve Sullivan – 907
12. Chris Kunitz – 906
13. Craig Adams – 900
14. James Neal – 861
Look at the Penguins stars near the bottom of the list. This pretty much tells you everything you need to know about this series.
Sidney Crosby is typically a guy that breaks the law of averages and has a PDO well above 1000 throughout the regular season.
James Neal’s season PDO was well below 1000, indicating to me that we should’ve seen him on the score sheet a lot more during the playoffs. If possible, his PDO actually got worse.
The Penguins superstars being so low on this list is a recipe for disaster in any case. Their shooting percentage was low, and the team’s save percentage was even lower in most of these cases.