First Round Statistical Preview
I always preface these articles by stating the obvious; statistics never tell the entire story. That being said, let’s take a look at some advanced statistics that tell us a little bit more about both of these teams.
We’re familiar with the names and star talent on both sides, but its time to see how the systematic approach to the game affects on-ice numbers in various situations for both of these clubs.
Most of these numbers were garnered using 5 on 5 as the base. If there is a statistic that exists outside of even strength, I’ll denote that as we move forward.
Even Strength Goals For Per 60 Minutes of Play
Even Strength Goals Against / 60
This is the basis of this series for me. The Penguins are slightly ahead of the Islanders in terms of scoring, but the differential between goals allowed is fairly high.
Due to the makeup of this Islanders team, my thoughts are they have to sacrifice a bit of defense in order to score goals in the fashion that they do.
Players like Travis Hamonic, Andrew MacDonald, and Brian Strait are serviceable on the defensive side of the puck, but the firepower that the Penguins will bring throughout their offensive unit is going to be key in this series.
Even Strength Corsi For Per 60 Minutes of Play
Corsi is the sum of the following: blocked shots, missed shots, posts, goals scored, and saves. It tracks every attempt a team launches at the net, giving you a large idea of the territorial advantage that a team creates in addition to the rubber they throw at the net.
Even Strength Corsi Against / 60 Minutes of Play
The same statistic, but reversed to track shooting attempts allowed.
While the Islanders don’t allow a ton of attempts on target, based on the goals against number, they are allowing some pretty high quality scoring chances.
The difference here is 4.39 hits per game swaying in the Penguins favor. Considering the physical tempo the Penguins want to bring, this is a fairly large discrepancy in numbers heading into the post-season.
Consider the Penguins percentage as an advantage in that they tend to run a considerable amount of set plays in the offensive zone from the faceoff circle.
Home/Road Goal Scoring
Penguins: 78G at home, 84G on road
Islanders: 67G at home, 68G on road
One-Goal Game Win Percentage
Two-Goal Game Win Percentage
Win Percentage When Outshot By Opponent
Aggregate percentage of goals scored versus total goals during five on five play.
Third Period Goals For
Third Period Goals Against
Major swing in the Penguins favor when it comes to the final 20 minutes of play.
Even Strength Plus/Minus per 60 Minutes of play
15+ Goal Scorers
Penguins: 4 (Kunitz, Dupuis, Neal, Crosby)
Islanders: 3 (Tavares, Moulson, Grabner)
Highest Scoring Lines
Penguins: Kunitz – Crosby – Dupuis – 31G
Islanders: Moulson – Tavares – Boyes – 21G
Positive Corsi Players – Min. 20 Games Played
Penguins: 10 total players – highest %: Crosby 16.10
Islanders: 9 total players – highest%: Visnovsky 14.86
These teams match up fairly well on paper, but there is no quantifiable statistic for playoff experience. The Islanders are fast, but as the statistics show, they’re prone to allowing a considerable amount of goals at even strength.
Stop back as we take a closer look at the Islanders throughout this series.