Check in: Fleury's Advanced Numbers
The term “economy of motion” has been thrown around a lot this year as a description of Marc-Andre Fleury’s performance this season.
We’ve seen the goaltender play within himself much more this season. Mike Bales has certainly made his impact known on this coaching staff thus far.
How do Fleury’s numbers look when you process them from an advanced level?
Goals Above Replacement
Perhaps my favorite of the advanced goaltending numbers, GAR looks at how many goals Marc-Andre Fleury has prevented ahead of a replacement level goaltender.
The term “replacement level” represents the best goaltender that a team could find on short notice with small resource expenditure (either the top goaltender on their minor league team, or the top free agent available). They generally perform 1.5% below the league average.
Fleury: 38 games played, 2,250:01 Time On Ice, GAR: 24
Not bad for Fleury, in only 38 games, he’s prevented 24 goals more above replacement level. That’s .63 goals per game better. Not a bad number at all.
Last season, Fleury ended the year at 16.9.
This one is a little more complicated, so I’ll allow Hockey Goalies to explain.
“Many times, differences in save percentage between goaltenders can be the result of random fluctuation. This statistic asks the question “if this goaltender were truly a league average goaltender, facing the number of shots that they faced, how remarkable would their actual performance have been?”.
Truly remarkable performances (good and bad) start at about two points away from league average, and the larger the number, the more significant.
Fleury Z-Score: -.11
So, this statistic tells us Fleury has performed a minuscule amount below league average. Not much to complain about here.
Support-Neutral Winning Percentage
What if a goaltender played for a team that allowed as many shots against as shots for, and was playing against a league average goaltender, what would their winning percentage be?
Fleury SNWP: 50%
This puts Fleury, once again, right in the middle of the pack in the NHL. In fact, in the face of the league average, Fleury is less than one percentage point behind the middle of the road among regular starters in the NHL.