There's Some Good With The Bad

Matt Bodenschatz | Pittsburgh Penguins

Feb 18, 03:05 PM | Hype this story!

On the surface, last night’s game results are a bit depressing for Pittsburgh Penguins fans.

Florida 4, New Jersey 0
Buffalo 4, Toronto 1
Boston 5, Carolina 1

Fortunately, the surface doesn’t tell the entire story.

The Buffalo Sabres and Florida Panthers both advanced in the standings, putting them six points ahead of the Pittsburgh Penguins, while the Montreal Canadiens and New York Rangers remain six points ahead of the Penguins.

 
Eastern Conference Playoff Race
Rank Team GP W L OTL Pts L10
5 Montreal 57 30 21 6 66 3-7-0
6 Florida 57 29 20 8 66 7-3-0
7 Buffalo 58 30 22 6 66 5-4-1
8 NY Rangers 58 30 22 6 66 2-6-2
9 Carolina 58 28 25 5 61 5-5-0
10 Pittsburgh 58 27 25 6 60 4-4-2
 

But, here’s the catch: as I noted last week, the Canadiens and Rangers have not just cooled off, but shut down.

And there’s no real end in sight for either team.

Late yesterday evening, word broke that the Canadiens demoted one key player and sent another home. The culprits: 21 year-old Sergei Kostitsyn (sent to AHL) and veteran All Star Alex Kovalev (given a leave of absence).

To add their woes, the Canadiens have been without forward Alex Tanguay since the beginning of the New Year, and center Robert Lang is done for the season — both sidelined with injuries. In goal, Carey Price may be in uniform, but he certainly hasn’t shown up to play.

Could an overabundance of partying be to blame?

Trading for veteran defenseman Mathieu Schneider was a step in the right direction, but their problems are team-wide, and they’ll need more moves to right the ship.

Their 3-7-0 record in their last 10 games is a clear indication of which direction they are headed in — and that direction is shared by the Rangers.

Prior to Michel Therrien’s surprise firing in Pittsburgh, heavy rumors surfaced that Blueshirts coach Tom Renney could be on the chopping block. It hasn’t happened yet, but things haven’t gotten better.

In fact, the situation has grown worse. On Sunday, arguably the team’s best defenseman, Paul Mara, separated his shoulder in a fight and is now out indefinitely, and All Star goalie Henrik Lundqvist has looked pedestrian, winning just one of his last eight games and giving up 25 goals in that span.

Their problem: a complete lack of scoring. During Lundqvist’s eight-game stretch with one win, the team tallied 12 goals. To make that a bit more clear, they’ve been outscored 25-12.

Ouch.

Both teams are back in action tonight in two games that should be the focus of Penguins fans.

NY Islanders at NY Rangers: 7:00
Montreal at Washington: 7:30

Okay, so how does this help the Penguins?

Well, it doesn’t, unless interim coach Dan Bylsma can get his players to buy into the high-tempo, aggressive style of play he preaches.

The fact is, the Canadiens and Rangers can lose all they want, but if the Penguins don’t win and win often, the standings won’t change.

Therein (not Therrien) lies the problem. The Penguins quite simply haven’t proven capable of winning with any regularity.

That has to change.

It begins tomorrow night — as the Penguins host to the Canadiens, who will be playing their second road game in 24 hours — and it must continue through the weekend against formidable opponents in Philadelphia and Washington.

Clearly, the Penguins must defeat the Canadiens to gain ground, but they also must win at least one of the other two games.

To hit 91 points (James Mirtle’s projected total needed for an Eastern Conference playoff berth), the Penguins will need a 15-8-1 record. That means taking four of every six possible points.

It can be done. But there is zero room for error.

Comments

  1. Matt Bodenschatz

    Feb 18, 03:39 PM

    He’s not eligible for waivers yet. And if he was, he wouldn’t have been subjected to demotion, as there would have been 29 teams — not just the Penguins — waiting to nab him.

  2. Bobby

    Feb 18, 06:11 PM

    I think the point many people are missing is that they don’t necessarily need a 15-8-1 record they just need to be 7 points better than 2 of the teams currently sitting in the 5 – 9 slots. I think that’s much easier to envision. A few four point swing games and we are right back in the thick of it.

  3. DaBich

    Feb 19, 06:53 AM

    The key word is…consistency.
    Something the Pens don’t have right now.

    Sorry, but I still have no optimism.

  4. Matt Bodenschatz

    Feb 19, 11:08 AM

    Bobby, you’re exactly right. Just because the projected number to reach is “91,” it doesn’t mean the Penguins HAVE to reach that number to get in. It could be 87…or maybe 95. The key is, they have to grab one additional point than two of the teams higher than they are.

    Dabich, I agree. Optimism isn’t something easy to have right now. My belief, though, is that anything can happen — especially when several of the teams directly above the Pens are really doing poorly.

  5. Dave

    Feb 19, 01:13 PM

    On December 4th they beat Carolina and went to 9 games over .500, their season high. Their record was 15-6-4. That means that since then over the past 2+ months their record is 12-19-2. I sure hope Bylsma can light a fire under their collective butts ‘cause that would be one big turnaround to go 15-8-1ish down the stretch. I have an idea that the game tonight will be instructive in that regard.

    Yet hope springs eternal. If they manage to look good beating Montreal tonight, and maybe get at least 3 out of 4 over the weekend, it’ll all seem very possible.

  6. Matt Bodenschatz

    Feb 19, 02:06 PM

    Dave, I’m with you. Tonight’s game will be a good indication, I think. A win tonight won’t signal a playoff guarantee or a loss tonight won’t signal a definite miss, but I think we may see if the players are going to buy into Bylsma’s aggressive strategy.

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